Saturday, June 1, 2013



FY13 GDP grows at 5%

 (The real GDP growth stands at 4.8% in Q4 of 2012-13 as against 4.7% in Q3 of 2012-13)

Economic growth may rebound contingent on improved governance and concerted actions to tackle supply side bottlenecks, enhanced public investments and fiscal consolidation measures. There is urgency for addressing bottlenecks in coal, power, road and telecommunication sectors to revive investment scenario in the economy.  

India’s real GDP growth declined from 6.2% in 2011-12 to 5% in 2012-13.  The GDP at factor cost at constant (2004-05) prices in 2012-13 is estimated at Rs. 55,05, 437 crore as against Rs. 52, 43,582 crore in 2011-12. Whereas, the GDP at factor cost at current prices in the year 2012-13 is estimated at Rs. 94,61,013 crore, showing a growth rate of 13.3% over the  GDP for the year 2011-12 at Rs. 83,53 ,495 crore.

Quarterly GDP at factor cost at constant (2004-05) prices for Q4 of 2012-13 is estimated at Rs. 14, 70,782 crore with growth rate of 4.8% as against 4.7% in Q3 of 2012-13, 5.2% in Q2 of 2012-13 and 5.4% in Q1 of 2012-13.

Trend in growth of India’s real GDP                                                                                             (%)
Source: PHD Research Bureau, compiled from CSO

The estimated growth rates in economic activities in Q4 of 2012-13 over Q4 of 2011-12 are financing, insurance, real estate and business services at 9.1%, construction at 4.4%, community, social & personal services at 4%, trade, hotels, transport and communication at 6.2% and electricity, gas & water supply at 2.8%. The growth rate in agriculture, forestry & fishing, is estimated at 1.4% while for mining and quarrying and manufacturing growth is estimated at (-) 3.1% and 2.6%, respectively in this period.

Recent pattern in real GDP growth           

Components of  India’s GDP
Share in GDP*
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
AE FY13
PE FY13
Q1 FY13
Q2 FY13
Q3 FY13
Q4 FY13
Agriculture, forestry & fishing
13.68
0.1
0.8
7.9
3.6
1.8
1.9
2.9
1.7
1.8
1.4
Industry (IIP)
18.93
 4.01
10
8.5
2.6
1.9
1.1
-0.1
0.5
2.3
2.0
Of which




Mining & quarrying
1.95
2.1
5.9
4.9
(-) 0.6
0.4
-0.6
0.4
1.7
-0.7
-3.1
Manufacturing
15.10
4.3
11.3
9.7
2.7
1.9
1
-1
0.1
2.5
2.6
Electricity, gas & water supply
1.86
4.6
6.2
5.2
6.5
4.9
4.2
6.2
3.2
4.5
2.8
Construction
7.81
5.3
6.7
10.2
5.6
5.9
4.3
7
3.1
2.9
4.4
Services
59.56
9.6
10.1
9.8
8.2
6.6
7.1
7.6
7.6
6.6
6.5
Of which




Trade, hotel, transport & communication
27.82
9
9.7
10.3
7
5.2
6.4
6.1
6.8
6.4
6.2
Financing, insurance, real estate & business services
18.72
12
9.7
10.1
11.7
8.6
8.6
9.3
8.3
7.8
9.1
Community, social & personal services
13.01
12.5
11.7
4.3
6
6.8
6.6
8.9
8.4
5.6
4
Overall real GDP
100
6.7
8.6
9.3
6.2
5
5
5.4
5.2
4.7
4.8
Source: PHD Research Bureau, compiled from CSO
Note: *Share in GDP is as per provisional estimates of GDP for 2012-13, AE: Advance Estimates, PE: Provisional Estimates

Gross National Income -- The Gross National Income (GNI) at factor cost at 2004-05 prices is estimated at Rs. 54, 49,104 crore during 2012-13 as against the previous year’s first revised estimate of Rs. 51,96,848 crore. In terms of growth rates, the gross national income is estimated to have risen by 4.9% during 2012-13, in comparison to the growth rate of 6.4% in 2011-12.

Per Capita Net National Income -- The per capita net national income in real terms (at 2004-05 prices) during 2012-13 is estimated at Rs. 39,168 as compared to the first revised estimates for 2011-12 of Rs. 38,037. The growth rate in per capita income is estimated at 3% during 2012-13 as against 4.7% during 2011-12.

Private Final Consumption Expenditure -- Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) at constant (2004-05) prices is estimated at Rs. 34,66,723 crore in 2012-13 as against Rs. 33,34,900 crore in 2011-12. At current prices PFCE is estimated at Rs. 56, 94,362crore in 2012-13 as against Rs. 50, 56,219 crore in 2011-12. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of PFCE at current and constant (2004-05) prices during 2012-13 are estimated at 56.8% and 59.6% respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 56.3% and 59.2% respectively in 2011-12.

Government Final Consumption Expenditure -- Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at constant (2004-05) prices is estimated at Rs. 6,59,236 crore in 2012-13 as against Rs. 6,34,559 crore in 2011-12. At current prices GFCE is estimated at Rs. 11, 86,761crore in 2012-13 as against Rs. 10, 42,677crore in 2011-12. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of GFCE at current and constant (2004-05) prices during 2012-13 are estimated at 11.8% and 11.3% respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 11.6% and 11.3% respectively in 2011-12.

Gross Fixed Capital Formation -- Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) at constant (2004-05) prices is estimated at Rs. 19,29,988 crore in 2012-13 as against Rs. 18,97,309 crore in 2011-12. At current prices GFCF is estimated at Rs. 29, 64,677crore in 2012-13 as against Rs. 27, 49,072 crore in 2011-12. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of GFCF at current and constant (2004-05) prices during 2012-13 are estimated at 29.6% and 33.2% respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 30.6% and 33.7% respectively in 2011-12.

The private final consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP at constant market prices stands at 54.7% in Q4 of 2012-13, 61.4% in Q3 of 2012-13, 61.8% in Q2 of 2012-13 and 61.1% in Q1 of 2012-13. The gross fixed capital formation as percentage of GDP at constant market prices stands at 32.6% in Q4 of 2012-13, 32% in Q3 of 2012-13, 34.6% in Q2 of 2012-13 and 33.8% in Q1 of 2012-13.

  Select demand side indicators, as % of GDP                          (at constant market prices)
Item
Q1FY13
Q2FY13
Q3FY13
Q4FY13  
Private Final Consumption Expenditure
61.1
61.8
61.4
54.7
Government Final Consumption Expenditure
11.0
11.0
12.1
11.2
Gross Fixed Capital Formation
33.8
34.6
32.0
32.6
 Source: PHD Research Bureau, compiled from CSO

Warm regards,

Dr. S P Sharma
Chief Economist
________________________________________________
PHD Research Bureau
PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry
August Kranti Marg, New Delhi – 110016
Tel 91 11 49545454, Fax 91 11 26855450,
E mail – research@phdcci.in
Website www.phdcci.in

SAB TV announces Lapataganj Ek Baar Phir!

1 06 2013 Image
Sagar Media Inc: New Delhi, Friday, May 31st, 2013: Lapataganj, SAB TV most popular show, traced the journey of common man who struggles for basic amenities yet lives a fulfilled life. The show, based against the backdrop of rural India, which etched fond memories in the hearts of the viewers, is back on public demand! Having always endeavored to provide refreshing and engaging content to its viewers, SAB TV announces Lapataganj Ek Baar Phir,Directed by Ashwini Dhir and Produced by Garima Productions, the show will go on air on June 10th 2013, 10.00pm only on SAB TV.

Continuing with the premise of m Insaano Ki Zindagi Se Judi Khass Samasyaaen, Lapataganj Ek Baar Phir brings back the everyday struggles of the common man. As the storyline progresses, the residents of Lapataganj find respite to their struggles, albeit partially. So they now have access to water and electricity, but that’s just for a few hours yet people continue to live a contented life.

Lapataganj Ek Baar Phir will bring to its viewers the best of family entertainment by capturing the essence of rural India through the. The beloved couple Indumati (Sucheta Khanna) and Mukundi (Rohitashv Gaur) will continue to play protagonists alongside popular characters such as Kachua Chacha (Vineet Kumar), Chukundi (Sanjay Chaudhury), Eiji & Biji Pandey (Abbas Khan), Surili (Aditi Telang), Mishri Mausi (Shubhangi Gokhale), Chotu Mama (Anoop Upadhyay), Elizabeth Yadav (Krishna Bhatt) and Lallanji (Rakesh Srivastav)!

Speaking about Lapataganj Ek Baar Phir, Mr. Anooj Kapoor, EVP and Business Head, SAB TV, ㌡pataganj received exceptional response from the viewers and has etched fond memories in the hearts of our viewers. We received numerous requests from our viewers to bring back the show and the characters that had won them over with their performances. On public demand, we are bringing back the show and I am confident that the new season will surpass our expectations and entertain audiences once again.

Rohitashv Gaur who plays Mukundi shares more about the show, Lapataganj EK Baar Phir is a show which is known for the unique and realistic content it offers. I always knew this show would be back on SAB TV as it isvery popular and relates to every household in some way

Sucheta Khanna who plays Indumati states, am very happy about SAB TV decision to bring back the show and am equally excited to play Indumati once again for my fans. This role has been the most successful role of my career and this time I want to go one step ahead with this character. I am delighted to be a part of the Lapataganj team Ek Baar Phir

Lapataganj Ek Baar Phir boasts of relatable characters, newer elements and an extremely engaging storyline that is sure to revive memories from the previous season. This well received and much appreciated show caters to viewers across all age groups, reflecting SAB TV brand promise  Mazaa SAB Ke Saath Ata Hai

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